欧元汇率波动对中欧贸易的影响

摘要

The impact of euro exchange rate fluctuation to Sino-European trade is not prominent:In short terms, the fluctuation directly influences the trade;in long terms, the influence is indirect by means of comparative advantages, which takes the fluctuation as a precon-dition. We should analyze the distinction between export industries of China and Eurozone rather than exaggerating the impact when en-countering practical problems. In the mean time, we should identify opportunities to expand trade with the Eurozone, increase the weight of the euro in a basket of currencies, and extend the trade category to optimize import and export commodity mix.%欧元汇率的变动对中欧贸易的影响程度并不显著，在短期内通过直接影响汇率变动本身来起作用；而在长期中其影响则是间接的，该影响仅以汇率变动为前提，通过比较优势的大小形成的。我们在处理现实性问题时，并不应该夸大汇率对外贸的作用，而应从客观上分析我国和欧元区贸易进出口产业的区别。同时，应抓住机遇，拓展对欧元区的进出口贸易；加大欧元在一揽子货币中的权重；扩大贸易范围，优化进出口商品结构。