黄刺蛾在新疆的适生区预测

摘要

Cnidocampa flavescens (Walker) is one of the important invasive quarantine pests in Xinjiang. To determine the quarantine status, the potential geographic distribution in Xinjiang was analyzed and predicted by using Desktop GARP. The results showed that Cnidocampa flavescens (Walker) could survive in parts of Xinjiang. The major adaptable areas in Xinjiang include the junction zones around Tarim Basin, Turban Basin, Yili Prefecture, Altai Prefecture, Urumqi Prefecture and Changji Prefecture. Here it is supposed to strengthen the monitoring to prevent the moth from spreading.%　　黄刺蛾是新疆重要入侵检疫性害虫之一。为明确其检疫性，运用GARP生态位模型，预测黄刺蛾在新疆的潜在地理分布。结果表明：新疆存在一部分地区适宜黄刺蛾生存区域，主要位于环塔里木盆地地区，吐鲁番盆地、伊犁地区、阿勒泰地区、乌鲁木齐及昌吉州地区。建议应加强监测，防止其扩散。