江苏省乡村旅游产业发展水平及空间差异分析

摘要

乡村旅游产业是实现乡村旅游经济发展、产业升级、效益增长、环境改善和区域协调的重要载体和有效渠道.基于乡村旅游产业发展相关统计数据,构建乡村旅游产业发展水平的评价体系,并选择江苏省为案例,借助因子分析法、ESDA法,纵向维度探讨江苏省乡村旅游产业发展演化状况,横向维度动态比较乡村旅游产业发展空间差异,结果表明:2003-2015年江苏省13个辖市乡村旅游产业发展水平均存在变化,其中,先升后降的有苏州、常州等六市,先降后升的有南京、无锡等五市,持续下降的有宿迁和泰州;依据乡村旅游产业发展状况,将13个辖市乡村旅游划分为领先发展、增长潜力、优势提升和滞后发展4种类型;乡村旅游产业发展水平存在区域间变化相对稳定、区域内部差异明显小于区域间差异且沿主轴方向集聚、沿辅轴方向分散的特征;同时乡村旅游产业发展重心呈现先东北后西南的演化趋势.基于分析提出江苏省乡村旅游产业今后发展建议.%The rural tourism industry is the important vector and effective channel to promote rural economic development, industrial upgrading, environmental protection and ecological improvement and realization of regional coordination.Based on relevant statistics of the rural tourism industry, the paper constructs evaluation system of development level of the rural tourism industry in Jiangsu Province.The paper using the method of factor analysis and standard deviation ellipse, discusses the level and evolution of the rural tourism industry in the scale of longitudinal dimension and compares the spatial difference of development of rural tourism industry in the scale of horizontal dimension dynamic.Conclusions are following: Firstly, the development of rural tourism industry in Jiangsu Province from 2003 to 2015 exists a change, the level of Suzhou, Changzhou and other six cities are dropping after growing;the level of Nanjing, Wuxi and other five cities are growing after dropping;the level of Suqian and Taizhou are falling all the way.Secondly, on the basis of the rural tourism industry development status, the types of rural tourism industry in Jiangsu Province are divided into leading development, potential growth, advantage promotion and lagging development;Thirdly, at the same time, the level of rural tourism industry is relatively stable between regions and regional differences is much smaller than differences between regions.Center of standard deviation ellipse about rural tourism industry presents trend from southwest to northeast and the development of rural tourism industry presents characteristics of agglomeration along the axis direction and dispersion along the auxiliary shaft direction.Finally, the corresponding advice based on the development of rural tourism industry in Jiangsu Province are put forward.