以河北省为例,运用相关系数、偏离度、就业弹性等方法对就业结构、产业结构及经济增长进行相关性分析,将结构偏离度纳入柯布-道格拉斯函数,建立偏离度对经济增长的回归模型及就业结构、产业结构和经济增长三者动态结构间的向量自回归模型,河北经济特有的高能耗、高排放、经济转型压力大等特征在模型中均有所体现.结果表明:经济增长使得经济结构得以改善,第一产业剩余劳动力存在转移和释放的较大空间,第三产业就业弹性大于第二产业的就业弹性,有利于增加就业;结构偏离对经济造成负面影响,结构偏离度每增加1,对产出就造成0.02%~0.17%的损失;就业结构的优化调整对产业结构的优化调整有正向促进作用,但被动的产业结构调整使得稳增长、调结构的压力较大;经济增长对就业结构和产业结构的影响较大且长远,调结构对稳增长具有重要意义.%Based on the analysis on the employment structure,the industrial structure and economic growth in Hebei Province,by using the correlation coefficient,the deviation degree and the employment elasticity,by putting the deviation degree in the Cobb-Douglas function,the paper has established the regression model about the devia-tion degree to economic growth,then established the VAR model about employment structure, industrial structure and economic growth,which reflected the high energy consumption,high emission and economic transition pressure characteristics of Hebei economy,and reached the conclusion that there is a big space of surplus labor to transfer and release in primary industry;third industry employment elasticity is better than the second industry, helps in-crease employment;every 1 degree increase,output losses is about 0.02%~0.17%;the adjustment of employment structure has positive effect on the adjustment of industrial structure, but the passive industrial structure makes pressure on steady growth and structural adjustment;the influence of economic growth on employment structure and industrial structure is large and long term,and structural adjustment is great significance to steady growth.
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