基于投入产出模型的中国种植业产品提价测算分析

摘要

Based on the identification of China agriculture industrial cluster,the industrial linkage index,including the sensitivity coefficients and influence coefficients were introduced into the inside of industrial clusters through input-output analysis. The key sectors in agriculture cluster were found out through comparion of the data between 1997 and 2002 and measurement of the industrial linkage of China agriculture. The effect of the key sectors' production price on other relative sectors both inside and outside agriculture cluster was calculated by utilizing the model of price alteration to provide corresponding reference for decision-makers.%在已识别出中国种植业产业集群的基础上,将投入产出分析中的产业关联指标-影响力系数和感应度系数引申到产业集群内,对比分析了1997年与2002年的数据,考查了中国种植业产业集群内各部门之间的关联效应,找出集群内的关键部门.最后通过价格变动影响模型,分别就种植业产业集群内的关键部门产品提价对集群内部门和集群外部门的影响程度进行测算,以期为决策者提供相应的参考依据.