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Essays on economic growth, financial integration and exchange rates.

机译:关于经济增长,金融一体化和汇率的论文。

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摘要

This dissertation analyzes how the degree of financial integration and the exchange rate regime of a country affect its economic growth. The discussion is focused on developing countries, with special emphasis on Latin America, and it contributes to the recent economic growth and development literatures. The first paper analyzes how fiscal policy and credit constraints affect the impact of macroeconomic volatility on long-run growth. A tractable theoretical model is examined where agents engage in two types of investment: a short-run investment in physical capital and a long-run investment in R&D. The main implication is that in countries with lower degree of financial development, countercyclical fiscal policy is particularly important in reducing the negative consequences of adverse aggregate shocks on firms' long-run investments. The empirical analysis confirms the theoretical predictions from the model.;The second paper examines the relationship between exchange rate regimes, the degree of international financial integration and economic growth. The main implication of the theoretical model is that a more flexible exchange rate can reduce average growth, especially in countries with low level of domestic financial development and low degrees of international financial integration. The empirical analysis confirms the predictions from the model. This paper has policy implications, since it suggests that the exchange rate regime needs to be considered in the light of the development of domestic credit markets and the degree of international financial integration of a country.;The third paper examines the political economy of exchange rate policy in Latin America by analyzing a model in which special interest groups and policymakers interact to determine the exchange rate regime and its level. The main implication is that the optimal exchange rate is determined by economic parameters, the distribution of special interest groups in the economy, and their capacity to influence policymakers. The empirical analysis for Latin America for the period 1975-2006 confirms the predictions of the model, and establishes that political economy factors have played a role in shaping exchange rate policy; both its regime and its level.
机译:本文分析了一个国家的金融一体化程度和汇率制度如何影响其经济增长。讨论的重点是发展中国家,特别是拉丁美洲,它对最近的经济增长和发展文献做出了贡献。第一篇论文分析了财政政策和信贷约束如何影响宏观经济波动对长期增长的影响。考察了一种易于处理的理论模型,其中,代理人从事两种类型的投资:对实物资本的短期投资和对R&D的长期投资。主要含义是,在金融发展程度较低的国家中,反周期财政政策对于减少不利的总体冲击对企业长期投资的负面影响尤其重要。实证分析证实了该模型的理论预测。第二部分研究了汇率制度,国际金融一体化程度与经济增长之间的关系。该理论模型的主要含义是,更灵活的汇率会降低平均增长率,尤其是在国内金融发展水平较低且国际金融一体化程度较低的国家。实证分析证实了该模型的预测。本文具有政策意义,因为它表明需要根据国内信贷市场的发展和一个国家的国际金融一体化程度来考虑汇率制度。第三篇论文研究了汇率的政治经济学。通过分析一个模型,在该模型中,特殊利益集团和决策者相互影响,以确定汇率制度及其水平。主要含义是,最佳汇率取决于经济参数,经济中特殊利益群体的分布及其对决策者的影响能力。 1975年至2006年期间对拉丁美洲的经验分析证实了该模型的预测,并确定了政治经济因素在制定汇率政策中发挥了作用;它的政权和水平。

著录项

  • 作者单位

    University of Pittsburgh.;

  • 授予单位 University of Pittsburgh.;
  • 学科 Economics General.;Economics Theory.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2009
  • 页码 173 p.
  • 总页数 173
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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