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The Role of Financial Liberalization in Consumption Booms.

机译:金融自由化在消费热潮中的作用。

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摘要

Consumption booms, defined as unusual upsurge in a country's real private consumption expenditures, are often perceived as dangerous macroeconomic events because of their detrimental effects on home goods prices, the balance of trade, and the resources available for investment. Using a large cross-country panel data set from 1973-2005, this paper assesses how financial liberalization explains the occurrence of consumption booms. There are two key findings: First, while financial liberalization is not responsible for triggering all the consumption booms across the sample, the booms have indeed arisen more readily in the circumstances of financial reform, particularly the liberalization of the capital account, holding other factors constant. Second, the correlation between the probability of booms occurring and financial openness is non-linear. As many emerging economies like India and China are considering fully liberalizing their financial markets, these countries need to be particularly cautious about potential consumption booms that might jeopardize the macroeconomic stability.
机译:消费热潮被定义为一国实际私人消费支出的不寻常增长,由于其对住房商品价格,贸易平衡和可投资资源的不利影响,通常被视为危险的宏观经济事件。本文使用1973年至2005年的大型跨国面板数据集,评估了金融自由化如何解释消费繁荣的发生。有两个主要发现:第一,虽然金融自由化不负责触发样本中的所有消费繁荣,但在金融改革的情况下,尤其是在保持其他因素不变的情况下,尤其是资本账户的自由化,繁荣确实确实更容易发生。 。其次,繁荣景象发生的可能性与金融开放程度之间的相关性是非线性的。当许多新兴经济体(如印度和中国)正在考虑全面开放其金融市场时,这些国家需要特别注意可能危害宏观经济稳定的潜在消费激增。

著录项

  • 作者

    Wang, Zhi.;

  • 作者单位

    Georgetown University.;

  • 授予单位 Georgetown University.;
  • 学科 Economics Finance.;Sociology Public and Social Welfare.
  • 学位 M.P.P.
  • 年度 2014
  • 页码 54 p.
  • 总页数 54
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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