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Implied Volatility Surface Simulation with Tangent Levy Models.

机译:切线征税模型的隐含波动率表面模拟。

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摘要

With the recent developments of a liquid derivative market, as well as the demands for an improved risk management framework post the financial crisis, it is becoming increasingly important to consistently model the implied volatility dynamics of an asset. Many attempts have been made on this front, but few manage to exclude arbitrage opportunities with reasonable tractability.;In this thesis, we present two approaches based on tangent Levy models to achieve the task. One of the biggest advantages of tangent Levy models is that, by using the tangent process' jump density as the codebook to describe the option price dynamics, it enables an explicit expression of the no-arbitrage conditions, hence allows for tractable implementation.;Our first approach is based on the tangent Levy model with tangent processes being derived from the double exponential process. This approach is easy to implement given the small number of parameters and the availability of an analytical pricing formula. In the second approach, the tangent process takes only finitely many jump sizes. With this specification, the no-arbitrage conditions are simplified and the model offers more flexibility since a non-parametric calibration procedure is allowed. For both approaches, we illustrate in detail the calibration and simulation procedure.;We stress the benefits of our approaches in a portfolio optimization problem by comparing the performance against the SABR model. Our approaches produce scenarios that are more consistent with the real-world dynamics, and lead to more stationary and stable portfolio returns, hence are more desirable in practical risk management.
机译:随着液体衍生品市场的最新发展以及金融危机后对改进风险管理框架的需求,一致地对资产的隐含波动率模型进行建模变得越来越重要。在这方面已经进行了很多尝试,但是很少有人设法以合理的可处理性排除套利机会。在本文中,我们提出了两种基于切线征费模型的方法来完成任务。切线征税模型的最大优势之一是,通过使用切线过程的跳跃密度作为描述期权价格动态的代码本,它可以明确表达无套利条件,因此可以轻松实施。第一种方法基于切线Levy模型,切线过程是从双指数过程中得出的。鉴于参数数量少和分析定价公式的可用性,该方法易于实现。在第二种方法中,切线过程仅需要有限的许多跳跃大小。使用此规范,简化了无套利条件,并且该模型提供了更大的灵活性,因为允许使用非参数校准程序。对于这两种方法,我们都详细说明了校准和仿真过程。通过比较性能与SABR模型,我们强调了方法在投资组合优化问题中的优势。我们的方法所产生的场景与现实世界中的动态更为一致,并导致更稳定的投资组合收益,因此在实际风险管理中更为可取。

著录项

  • 作者

    Ma, Yi.;

  • 作者单位

    Princeton University.;

  • 授予单位 Princeton University.;
  • 学科 Finance.;Mathematics.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2014
  • 页码 126 p.
  • 总页数 126
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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