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Waiting for the confidence fairy: An analysis of European sovereign bond spreads before and after the financial crisis.

机译:等待信心的童话:对金融危机前后欧洲主权债券利差的分析。

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摘要

The 2008 Financial Crisis that began in the United States caused widespread panic throughout the financial sector which resulted in the collapse of some companies and large losses for others. The availability of credit declined even as investor confidence continued to deteriorate. The European periphery concluded that the Financial Crisis would be relegated to the American economy. However, in 2009 Greece suffered a credit downgrade that signaled that the financial shock entered European shores. Shortly thereafter Spain suffered a credit downgrade followed by Italy in 2010. Suddenly the threat of default by a number of European countries became very real. The European Central Bank produced a number of financial rescue packages meant to shore up the economies of its ailing sovereigns. In return, these countries were expected to enact austerity measures to lower their debt levels and raise investor confidence.;The purpose of this thesis is to determine the effects of austerity measures on investor confidence by analyzing sovereign bond spreads in European countries before, during, after the financial crisis, and investigate the success of those measures. I expect to find that bond spreads act as a proxy for how markets respond to austerity measures as a sign of risk and economic health.;The period of analysis extends from January 2007 to December 2013 and has been divided into 2 sub-periods. The first period encompasses the buildup to the financial crisis, which began in early 2007 and ended December 31, 2008. The second period is marked by the financial stabilization scheme brought on by bank rescue packages and encompasses the aftermath of the financial crisis from January 2009 to December 2013. This paper found that countries that applied austerity measures correlated with lower bond spreads, but this is due to other factors. Austerity measures did not significantly raise GDP, lower debt, or spur an influx of investment.
机译:始于美国的2008年金融危机在整个金融领域引起了广泛的恐慌,导致一些公司倒闭,另一些公司蒙受了巨大损失。即使投资者信心继续恶化,信贷的可用性也下降了。欧洲外围国家得出的结论是,金融危机将归咎于美国经济。然而,2009年,希腊信用评级被下调,这表明金融冲击已进入欧洲。此后不久,西班牙遭到信用评级下调,其次是意大利,随后在2010年遭到降级。许多欧洲国家的违约威胁突然变得非常真实。欧洲中央银行出台了一系列金融救助计划,目的是支撑陷入困境的主权国家的经济。作为回报,预计这些国家将采取紧缩措施以降低其债务水平并提高投资者信心。本论文的目的是通过分析欧洲国家主权债券利差在之前,期间,之后以及之后通过分析紧缩措施对投资者信心的影响。金融危机过后,请调查这些措施是否成功。我希望发现债券利差可以替代市场对紧缩措施的反应,以此作为风险和经济健康的标志。分析期从2007年1月延伸至2013年12月,并分为两个子时期。第一阶段包括始于2007年初并于2008年12月31日结束的金融危机。第二阶段的特点是银行救援计划提出的金融稳定计划,包括2009年1月以来金融危机的后果。至2013年12月。本文发现,实行紧缩措施的国家与较低的债券利差相关,但这是由于其他因素所致。紧缩措施并未显着提高国内生产总值,降低债务或刺激投资涌入。

著录项

  • 作者

    Uresti, David Gerard.;

  • 作者单位

    The University of Texas at El Paso.;

  • 授予单位 The University of Texas at El Paso.;
  • 学科 Economics.;Finance.;European studies.;Political science.
  • 学位 M.A.
  • 年度 2015
  • 页码 97 p.
  • 总页数 97
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 语言学;
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:52:53

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