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Asymmetric information in managerial incentive contracts and in futures markets.

机译:管理激励合同和期货市场中的信息不对称。

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摘要

The general focus of this thesis is to analyze how asymmetric information affects a decentralized economy in which the allocations of resources by the Walrasian model are not possible.;As the size of the manager's wealth investment in their firm rises, the shirking will decrease but the incongruity between the manager and shareholders' risk preferences will increase. Therefore, the second best solution requires that an adequate level of wealth (of the manger) should be invested in the firm, so that an optimal effort level and optimal risk level (of projects) is agreed on.;The second paper discusses an economic model of futures markets in the presence of informational externalities. Our derivations indicate that when the speculators' information set contains noisy signals (asymmetries or imperfections), it might influence the other traders (i.e. producers), and confuse the producers' information set. Consequently, the producers' decision making of production might be shrunk, resulting in a lower supply in the next period's spot market. As a result the futures spot price rises and speculators have a profit opportunity.;Therefore, since futures markets with noisy signals offer profit opportunities to speculators, less risk-averse or risk-neutral speculators are willing to join futures markets for profit opportunities. An increase in the number of speculators makes the futures price increase. Accordingly producers are encouraged to raise their output, leading to greater consumers surplus. This kind of effect can reduce or compensate for the economic loss which comes from poor information. Thus, the effect of the presence of futures markets is positive for the economy regardless of informational efficiency. With or without noisy signals, futures markets play an important role in stabilizing futures spot prices by guiding the rational production decision.;The first paper analyzes managerial incentive contracts in which the manager's moral hazard is caused by hidden action in effort and decision making (for example, selecting risky projects). Since the manager is assumed to have significant initial wealth, it is very important for shareholders to design a compensation scheme that considers the presence of this initial wealth of the manager. Because shareholders cannot observe hidden actions in effort and decision making, they should consider the incongruity in risk preferences between managers and themselves. Therefore, in the presence of the manager's wealth, the wealth level invested in the firm can be used to estimate the manager's shirking of effort and the risk preferences regarding the choice of risky projects, which directly affect shareholder profits.
机译:本文的主要重点是分析不对称信息如何影响去中心化经济,在这种去中心化经济中无法通过Walrasian模型进行资源分配。;随着经理人对其公司进行的财富投资规模的增加,回避会减少,但经理和股东的风险偏好之间的不一致会增加。因此,第二个最佳解决方案要求在公司中投入足够的财富(经理人),以便就(项目)的最佳努力水平和最佳风险水平达成共识。存在信息外部性的期货市场模型。我们的推论表明,当投机者的信息集包含嘈杂的信号(不对称或不完美)时,可能会影响其他交易者(即生产者),并混淆生产者的信息集。因此,生产商的生产决策可能会缩水,从而导致下一时期的现货市场供应减少。结果,期货现货价格上涨,投机者就有了获利的机会。因此,由于带有嘈杂信号的期货市场为投机者提供了获利的机会,因此规避风险或中性的投机者愿意加入期货市场以获得获利的机会。投机者数量的增加使期货价格上涨。因此,鼓励生产者增加产量,导致更多的消费者剩余。这种影响可以减少或补偿由于信息不足而造成的经济损失。因此,无论信息效率如何,期货市场的存在对经济都是积极的。有无噪声信号,期货市场通过指导合理的生产决策在稳定期货现货价格中起着重要作用。第一篇论文分析了经理人激励契约,其中经理人的道德风险是由努力和决策中的隐性行为引起的。例如,选择有风险的项目)。由于假定经理人拥有大量初始财富,因此,对于股东而言,设计一个考虑经理人初始财富存在的薪酬计划非常重要。由于股东无法观察到在努力和决策中的隐蔽行为,因此他们应该考虑经理与他们之间的风险偏好不一致。因此,在存在经理人的财富的情况下,可以将投资于公司的财富水平用于估计经理人的努力以及与风险项目选择有关的风险偏好,这直接影响股东的利润。

著录项

  • 作者

    Jo, Wook-Hyon.;

  • 作者单位

    State University of New York at Buffalo.;

  • 授予单位 State University of New York at Buffalo.;
  • 学科 Economics General.;Economics Finance.;Economics Theory.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1990
  • 页码 103 p.
  • 总页数 103
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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