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Inter-trade duration and the dynamics of the stock and option trade processes.

机译:交易之间的持续时间以及股票和期权交易过程的动态。

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摘要

This dissertation characterizes the bivariate point process of stock and option trades. Additionally the thesis tests for lead-lag effects in stock and option trade durations (i.e., time between trades) and intensities. An important contribution of the thesis is the assessment of how quickly information is transferred from one market to another. Inclusion of other trade variables, such as volume, signed volume, and quoted spread extends the understanding of how private information is incorporated into prices, and which market reflects private information first.; The first econometric model is a bivariate Autoregressive Conditional Duration (ACD) model similar to that of Engle and Lunde (1999). The bivariate ACD directly models the relationship between inter-trade durations in the stock market and option market. Inclusion of a forcing process—either a stock trade or an option trade—facilitates lead-lag testing. The results of this model are consistent with the idea that at least some private information reaches the option market first. However, most informed traders appear to prefer the stock market.; The second econometric model is an extension of Russell's (1999) Autoregressive Conditional Intensity (ACI) model. In this setting, the trade intensities are modeled directly, eliminating the need for choosing a forcing process. The results of this model are consistent with the results of the previous model: most informed trading is in the stock market, but occasionally some information appears in the option market first. Further evidence in support of this conclusion is provided by the exogenous trade variables. Stock trade variables, such as volume and spread are important in characterizing both stock trade intensities and option trade intensities. However, option trade variables are important in characterizing option trade intensities only.
机译:本文描述了股票和期权交易的双变量点过程。此外,本文还测试了股票和期权交易持续时间(即交易之间的时间)和强度的超前滞后效应。论文的重要贡献是评估信息从一个市场转移到另一个市场的速度。包括其他交易变量,例如交易量,签字量和报价差价,扩展了对如何将私人信息纳入价格以及哪个市场首先反映私人信息的理解。第一个计量经济学模型是类似于Engle和Lunde(1999)的双变量自回归条件持续时间(ACD)模型。二元ACD直接模拟股票市场和期权市场之间的交易间持续时间之间的关系。包括强制交易过程(股票交易或期权交易)都有助于提前滞后测试。该模型的结果与至少一些私有信息首先到达期权市场的想法是一致的。但是,大多数知情的交易者似乎更喜欢股票市场。第二个计量经济学模型是Russell(1999)自回归条件强度(ACI)模型的扩展。在这种情况下,可以直接对贸易强度进行建模,从而无需选择强制过程。该模型的结果与以前的模型的结果一致:信息量最大的交易是在股票市场中进行的,但有时某些信息首先出现在期权市场中。外生贸易变量提供了支持该结论的进一步证据。股票交易变量(例如数量和价差)对于表征股票交易强度和期权交易强度都非常重要。但是,期权交易变量仅在表征期权交易强度时很重要。

著录项

  • 作者单位

    Syracuse University.;

  • 授予单位 Syracuse University.;
  • 学科 Economics Finance.; Business Administration Banking.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2001
  • 页码 142 p.
  • 总页数 142
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 财政、金融;金融、银行;
  • 关键词

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