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Evaluation of the real options approach to agribusiness valuation: A pork investment case study.

机译:实物期权方法对农业综合企业价值的评估:猪肉投资案例研究。

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摘要

The application of financial option theory to the valuation of capital projects is termed the real options approach. The purpose of this study is to determine the applicability of the real options approach to valuing investments in agriculture. Specifically, the study developed an NPV and real options models to evaluate a farrow-to-finish pork investment.; Although the NPV analysis rejected the hog project evaluated, the value of the project improved when the managerial options were considered. Particularly, the option to wait was highly valuable for this investment. However, if the expected average price of finished hog increased by between 23%--29%, it would be economically sensible for management to invest immediately. The sensitivity analyses indicate that the NPV and the real option results are sensitive to the discount rate and the volatility respectively. The results of the option analysis closely matched the actual decision of the management of the case studied.
机译:金融期权理论在资本项目评估中的应用被称为实物期权法。这项研究的目的是确定实物期权方法对农业投资价值的适用性。具体而言,该研究开发了NPV和实物期权模型来评估从分娩到完成的猪肉投资。尽管NPV分析拒绝了所评估的生猪项目,但是当考虑管理选项时,项目的价值得以提高。特别是,等待的选择对于这项投资非常有价值。但是,如果生猪的预期平均价格上涨23%-29%之间,则管理层立即进行投资在经济上是明智的。敏感性分析表明,NPV和实物期权结果分别对折现率和波动率敏感。期权分析的结果与所研究案例管理的实际决策非常吻合。

著录项

  • 作者

    Duku-Kaakyire, Armstrong.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Alberta (Canada).;

  • 授予单位 University of Alberta (Canada).;
  • 学科 Economics Agricultural.
  • 学位 M.Sc.
  • 年度 2003
  • 页码 131 p.
  • 总页数 131
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 农业经济;
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:45:48

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