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Sea ice climatology, variations and teleconnections: Observational and modeling studies.

机译:海冰气候学,变化和遥相关:观测和建模研究。

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Hypotheses, models and observations suggest that sea ice plays an important role in the local, regional and global climate through a variety of processes across a full range of scales. However, our documentation and understanding of the nature of the polar-extrapolar climate teleconnections and their underlying causal and mechanistic links are still rudimentary, and the largest disagreements among model simulations of present and future climate are in the polar regions.; In an effort to address these issues, we evaluated the simulated Antarctic sea ice variability and its climate teleconnections in three coupled global climate models (GISS, NCAR and GFDL) as compared to the observations. All the models capture the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-like phenomenon to some degree, although almost all the models miss some observed linkages. The GISS and NCAR models also capture the observed Antarctic Dipole and meridional banding structure through the Pacific. The Antarctic sea ice regions showing the strongest sensitivity to global teleconnections differ among the models and between the models and observations. We then proposed that the changes of the regional mean meridional atmospheric circulation (the regional Ferrel Cell) are one such mechanism leading to the covariability of the ENSO and Antarctic Dipole by modulating the mean meridional heat flux using the observational data.; To more accurately represent sea ice simulations and associated feedbacks with the atmosphere and the ocean, the GISS coupled model was used to investigate the sensitivity of sea ice to the following physical parameterizations: (a) two sea ice dynamics (cavitating fluid and viscous-plastic), (b) the specification of oceanic isopyncal mixing coefficients in the Gent and McWillams isopyncal mixing, (c) the Wajsowicz viscosity diffusion, (d) surface albedo, (e) the penetration of solar radiation in sea ice, (f) effects of including a sea ice salinity budget, and (g) the ice-ocean boundary interactions. The atmospheric responses associated with sea ice changes were discussed. Based on these experiments, a series of composite experiments with the aforementioned parameterizations were also investigated. While improvements are seen overall, there are some unrealistic aspects that will require further improvements to the sea ice and ocean components. Finally, the GISS coupled model's ability to represent observed Antarctic sea ice variability and its global teleconnections was re-evaluated in a composite run with the improved sea ice and ocean processes.
机译:假设,模型和观测结果表明,海冰通过各种规模的各种过程在当地,区域和全球气候中发挥着重要作用。然而,我们对极地-极地气候遥相关的本质及其潜在的因果关系和机制联系的文献记载和理解仍然是基本的,目前和未来气候的模型模拟之间最大的分歧是在极地地区。为了解决这些问题,我们与观测值进行了比较,在三种耦合的全球气候模型(GISS,NCAR和GFDL)中评估了模拟的南极海冰可变性及其气候遥相关。尽管几乎所有模型都缺少一些观察到的联系,但所有模型都在一定程度上捕获了类似厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)的现象。 GISS和NCAR模型还捕获了整个太平洋观测到的南极偶极子午线和带状结构。在各模型之间以及各模型和观测值之间,对全球遥相关表现出最强敏感性的南极海冰区域有所不同。然后我们提出,区域平均经向大气环流(区域Ferrel细胞)的变化是一种通过使用观测数据调制平均经向热通量而导致ENSO和南极偶极子协变的机制。为了更准确地表示海冰模拟以及与大气和海洋的相关反馈,使用GISS耦合模型研究海冰对以下物理参数设置的敏感性:(a)两种海冰动力学(空化流体和粘塑性) ),(b)Gent和McWillams等位混合中海洋等位混合系数的规范,(c)Wajsowicz粘度扩散,(d)表面反照率,(e)太阳辐射在海冰中的渗透,(f)效应包括海冰盐度预算,以及(g)冰海边界相互作用。讨论了与海冰变化有关的大气响应。基于这些实验,还研究了一系列具有上述参数设置的复合实验。虽然总体上看到了改善,但仍有一些不切实际的方面需要进一步改善海冰和海洋成分。最后,在改进的海冰和海洋过程的综合运行中,重新评估了GISS耦合模型代表南极海冰变化的能力及其全球遥相关性。

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