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Managing disruption risks in global supply chains.

机译:管理全球供应链中的中断风险。

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摘要

Supply chain disruptions from man-made and natural disasters represent the most pressing concern in supply chain management. For global supply chain networks, in which entities are located in different geographical regions and goods are moved through various transportation links, each entity and transportation link present its own disruption risk and vulnerability. A disruption at a supply chain component may lead to the disruption of the entire supply chain network. Supply chain management decisions in the volatile business environments must consider the robustness and resiliency of the network to continue operations.;Next, we use the quantified disruption risk scores as disruption risk parameters for the supply chain optimization models. We formulate a multi-criteria strategic model for a global supply chain network design. We solve the multi-criteria model using goal programming. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the robustness of the supply chain network by incorporating disruption risk in the supply chain network design decisions.;Even though the robustness of a supply chain network has been considered at the strategic level, risks still exist. A disruption at a supply chain component may occur at any time during the planning horizon. We formulate a multi-period tactical supply chain model based on the strategic decisions taken during the design phase to evaluate how the disruption at a supply chain component impacts the supply chain network profit and the demand fulfillment. The supply chain network is subjected to a vulnerability analysis and risk mitigation assessment to evaluate the resiliency of the supply chain network operations under disruptions. Finally, we apply risk mitigation strategies, such as extra inventory and backup supplier, to increase the supply chain network resilience. Decision tree analysis is used to evaluate the cost and benefit among the various risk mitigation strategies.;The strategic model illustrates that a supply chain network design that relies heavily on maximizing profit may create a network characterized by high disruption risk. Considering disruption risk in a strategic supply chain decision enhances the robustness of a supply chain network. The tactical model enables the resiliency improvement of an existing supply chain network. From the numerical example, all three risk mitigation strategies (use of backup supplier, keep extra raw material inventory, and have both backup supplier and extra inventory) increase the ability of a supply chain to bounce back to a stable condition after facing a supplier disruption. Using a backup supplier increases resiliency by providing adequate supply capacity when there is a disruption. Keeping extra raw material inventory temporarily prevents part shortages when facing a short-term disruption. Having both a backup supplier and extra raw material would be an appropriate strategy to mitigate medium-term or long-term disruptions as extra inventory allows a supply chain network to continue its operations until a backup supplier is available. The cost benefit analysis shows that all risk mitigation strategies are attractive. The mitigation costs are much less than the mitigation benefits and the supply chain profits with mitigation strategies are higher than those without any mitigation.;In this dissertation, we incorporate both robustness and the resiliency in the supply chain management decisions. The robustness is considered at the strategic level, while the resiliency is considered at the tactical level. We develop a disruption risk assessment framework to quantify disruption risk scores of supply chain components (facilities and transportation links). A disruption risk score is determined from a qualitative assessment of three factors: hazard, vulnerability, and risk management practice. We apply the disruption risk assessment framework to quantify the suppliers' disruption risks of a global distribution company and develop disruption risk matrices for the suppliers' facilities and suppliers' transportation links. The assessment could enable the company to better understand their suppliers, to address critical network components, and to prioritize risk management activities.
机译:人为和自然灾害造成的供应链中断是供应链管理中最紧迫的问题。对于全球供应链网络,其中实体位于不同的地理区域,并且货物通过各种运输链接进行运输,每个实体和运输链接都具有自己的破坏风险和脆弱性。供应链组件的中断可能导致整个供应链网络的中断。易变的业务环境中的供应链管理决策必须考虑网络的健壮性和弹性才能继续运营。接下来,我们将量化的破坏风险评分用作供应链优化模型的破坏风险参数。我们为全球供应链网络设计制定了多准则战略模型。我们使用目标编程来解决多准则模型。通过在供应链网络设计决策中纳入破坏风险,提供了一个数值示例来说明供应链网络的健壮性。即使在战略层面考虑了供应链网络的健壮性,风险仍然存在。在计划期间,随时可能发生供应链组件中断的情况。我们基于设计阶段采取的战略决策,制定了多周期战术供应链模型,以评估供应链组件的中断如何影响供应链网络利润和需求满足。对供应链网络进行脆弱性分析和风险缓解评估,以评估在中断情况下供应链网络运营的弹性。最后,我们采用风险缓解策略,例如额外的库存和备用供应商,以提高供应链网络的弹性。决策树分析用于评估各种风险缓解策略之间的成本和收益。该策略模型说明,严重依赖于最大化利润的供应链网络设计可能会创建具有高破坏风险的网络。在战略供应链决策中考虑中断风险会增强供应链网络的健壮性。该战术模型可以改善现有供应链网络的弹性。从数字示例中可以看出,所有三种风险缓解策略(使用备用供应商,保留额外的原材料库存,并同时拥有备用供应商和额外库存)提高了供应链在面对供应商中断后恢复稳定状态的能力。 。使用备用供应商可在发生中断时提供足够的供应能力,从而提高弹性。当面临短期中断时,暂时保留额外的原材料库存可防止零件短缺。同时拥有备用供应商和额外的原材料将是缓解中期或长期中断的合适策略,因为额外的库存使供应链网络可以继续其运营,直到有备用供应商为止。成本效益分析表明,所有降低风险的策略都具有吸引力。缓解成本远低于缓解收益,采用缓解策略的供应链利润要高于不采用缓解策略的供应链利润。本文将鲁棒性和弹性纳入供应链管理决策中。健壮性是在战略层面上考虑的,而弹性是在战术层面上考虑的。我们建立了破坏风险评估框架,以量化供应链组件(设施和运输环节)的破坏风险评分。破坏风险评分是通过对三个因素的定性评估确定的:危害,脆弱性和风险管理实践。我们应用破坏风险评估框架来量化一家全球分销公司的供应商破坏风险,并为供应商的设施和供应商的运输联系建立破坏风险矩阵。评估可以使公司更好地了解其供应商,解决关键网络组件并确定风险管理活动的优先级。

著录项

  • 作者

    Kungwalsong, Kanokporn.;

  • 作者单位

    The Pennsylvania State University.;

  • 授予单位 The Pennsylvania State University.;
  • 学科 Industrial engineering.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2013
  • 页码 217 p.
  • 总页数 217
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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