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Cascading failure risk estimation and mitigation in power systems.

机译:级联故障风险估计和缓解电力系统。

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摘要

Electricity is a critical component in our daily life. Because it is almost always available, we take it for granted. However, given the proper conditions, blackouts do happen every once in a while and can cause discomfort at a minimum, and a catastrophe in rare circumstances. The largest blackouts typically include cascading failures, which are sequences of interdependent outages. Although timely and effective operator intervention can often prevent a cascade from spreading, such interventions require ample situational awareness.;The goals of this dissertation are twofold: to provide power system operators with insight into the risk of blackouts given the space of potential initiating outages, and to evaluate control systems that might mitigate cascading failure risk. Accordingly, this dissertation proposes a novel method to estimate cascading failure risk. It is shown that this method is at least two orders of magnitude faster in estimating risk, compared with a traditional Monte-Carlo simulation in two test systems including a large-scale real power grid model. This method allows one to find critical components in a system and suggests ideas for how to reduce blackout risk by preventive measures, such as adjusting initial dispatch of a system.;In addition to preventive measures, it is also possible to use corrective control strategies to reduce blackout sizes. These methods could be used once the system is under stress (for example if some of the elements are overloaded) to stop a potential cascade before it unfolds. This dissertation focuses on a distributed receding horizon model predictive control strategy to mitigate overloads in a system, in which each node can only control other nodes in its local neighborhood. A distributed approach not only needs less communication and computation, but is also a more natural fit with modern power system operations, in which many control centers manage disjoint regional networks. In addition, a distributed controller may be more robust to random failures and attacks. A central controller benefits from perfect information, and thus provides the optimal solution. This dissertation shows that as long as the local neighborhood of the distributed method is large enough, distributed control can provide high quality solutions that are similar to what an omniscient centralized controller could achieve, but with less communication requirements (per node), relative to the centralized approach.
机译:电力是我们日常生活的重要组成部分。因为它几乎总是可用,所以我们认为它是理所当然的。但是,在适当的条件下,停电确实会偶尔发生,并且至少会造成不适,在极少数情况下会造成灾难。最大的停电通常包括级联故障,这是一系列相互依赖的中断。尽管及时有效的操作员干预通常可以防止级联扩散,但是此类干预需要足够的态势感知。本论文的目标是双重的:考虑到潜在的启动中断空间,为电力系统操作员提供有关停电风险的见解,并评估可能减轻级联故障风险的控制系统。因此,本文提出了一种估计级联失效风险的新方法。结果表明,与包括大型真实电网模型在内的两个测试系统中的传统蒙特卡洛模拟相比,该方法在估计风险方面至少快了两个数量级。这种方法使人们能够找到系统中的关键组件,并提出有关如何通过预防措施(例如调整系统的初始调度)来降低停电风险的想法。除预防措施外,还可以使用纠正性控制策略减少停电尺寸。一旦系统处于压力之下(例如,如果某些元素过载),可以使用这些方法来阻止潜在的级联在其展开之前。本文着重研究了分布式后退水平模型预测控制策略,以减轻系统中的过载,其中每个节点只能控制其本地邻域中的其他节点。分布式方法不仅需要较少的通信和计算,而且更自然地适合于现代电力系统的运行,在该系统中,许多控制中心都管理不相交的区域网络。另外,分布式控制器对于随机故障和攻击可能更健壮。中央控制器受益于完美的信息,从而提供了最佳的解决方案。本文表明,只要分布式方法的局部邻域足够大,分布式控制就可以提供类似于无所不知的集中控制器可以实现的高质量解决方案,但是相对于分布式控制,通信需求(每个节点)更少。集中化方法。

著录项

  • 作者

    Rezaei, Pooya.;

  • 作者单位

    The University of Vermont and State Agricultural College.;

  • 授予单位 The University of Vermont and State Agricultural College.;
  • 学科 Electrical engineering.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2016
  • 页码 117 p.
  • 总页数 117
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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