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Coordination and incentive contracts in stochastic project management.

机译:随机项目管理中的协调和激励合同。

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摘要

In this dissertation, I consider coordination and incentive contracting problems in projects in which activity durations are random variables. In the first chapter, I examine how resource allocations are affected by the variability in activity times. I study the case where the project, consisting parallel subprojects, has a due date and the project manager is rewarded for early completions or penalized for delays. I assume that the project manager has full information and allocates resources to two subcontractors whose activity durations stochastically decrease with the level of resources allocated to them. Results show that the project manager does not necessarily allocate more resources to the subcontractors with higher activity duration variability.; In the second chapter, I study the incentive contracting problem for a project consisting of two sub-projects or tasks that are outsourced to different subcontractors, now explicitly introducing information asymmetry. The project manager earns more revenue from the project if it is completed faster, but she cannot observe the subcontractors' effort levels, only the stochastic duration of their tasks. I derive the optimal linear incentive contracts and compare them to the fixed-price contracts often encountered in practice. I characterize how the incentive contracts vary with the subcontractors' risk aversion and cost of effort, the marginal effect of subcontractor effort, and the variability of task durations. I find that this dependence is sometimes counter-intuitive; the effect of a decrease in the first activity's completion time variability on the payment to the first agent depends on whether that activity is likely to be on the critical path.; The third chapter extends the incentive contracting problem from the second chapter to a general project network. For the deterministic environment, I show that the incentive contracting problem with a linear cost function can be trans formed to a time-cost trade-off problem and that with a convex cost function can be transformed to a minimum cost network flow problem. In the stochastic environment, I take the activity durations to be exponentially distributed random variables, which enables us to transform the project network to a continuous time Markov chain with an absorbing state. I show how to compute the optimal linear contract for an arbitrary network, and derive closed form solutions for contract parameters for a simple project network with two parallel activities followed by one serial activity.
机译:在本文中,我考虑了活动持续时间是随机变量的项目中的协调和激励契约问题。在第一章中,我研究了活动时间的可变性如何影响资源分配。我研究的情况是,由并行子项目组成的项目有一个截止日期,项目经理因提早完成而获得奖励,或因延误而受到惩罚。我假设项目经理拥有完整的信息并将资源分配给两个分包商,这些分包商的活动时间随分配给他们的资源水平而随机减少。结果表明,项目经理不一定会向活动持续时间可变性较高的分包商分配更多资源。在第二章中,我研究了一个由两个子项目或任务组成的项目的激励合同问题,这些子项目或任务已外包给不同的分包商,现在明确引入了信息不对称性。如果项目经理更快地完成项目,则项目经理将从该项目中获得更多收入,但她无法观察分包商的工作水平,而只能观察其任务的随机时间。我推导出最优线性激励合同,并将其与实践中经常遇到的固定价格合同进行比较。我描述了激励合同如何随着分包商的风险规避和工作成本,分包商工作的边际效应以及任务工期的变化而变化。我发现这种依赖性有时是违反直觉的。减少第一项活动的完成时间可变性对付给第一名代理人的付款的影响取决于该活动是否可能在关键路径上。第三章将激励合同问题从第二章扩展到一个通用的项目网络。对于确定性环境,我表明具有线性成本函数的激励契约问题可以转化为时间成本权衡问题,而具有凸成本函数的激励契约问题可以转化为最小成本网络流量问题。在随机环境中,我将活动持续时间设为指数分布的随机变量,这使我们能够将项目网络转换为具有吸收状态的连续时间马尔可夫链。我展示了如何为任意网络计算最佳线性合同,并为具有两个并行活动和一个串行活动的简单项目网络导出合同参数的封闭式解决方案。

著录项

  • 作者

    Bayiz, Murat.;

  • 作者单位

    University of California, Los Angeles.;

  • 授予单位 University of California, Los Angeles.;
  • 学科 Business Administration Management.; Operations Research.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2005
  • 页码 127 p.
  • 总页数 127
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 贸易经济;运筹学;
  • 关键词

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