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Determinants of analyst skill specialization.

机译:分析人员技能专业化的决定因素。

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摘要

My dissertation examines individual analysts' specialization in earnings forecasting skill and stock picking skill. I analyze analyst utility maximization process and predict that non-specialization is optimal for analysts when there is considerable economy of scope between the two skills' development; that specialization is optimal when the costs of skill development are high; and that the marginal benefit of each skill is positively correlated with the chance that analysts choose to develop that particular skill. Consistent with my hypotheses, I find empirical evidence that an analyst's choice of non-specialization is positively correlated with his brokerage size, brokerage reputation, his all-star status, the industry skill spillover effect, all of which capture the inverse of the costs associated with skill development. I show that the economy of scope in skill development, measured with earnings relevance and earnings timeliness, can explain an analyst's choice of skill specialization versus non-specialization, albeit in a non-linear manner. Using earnings persistence, earnings predictability, and earnings fixation to measure investors' demand for analysts' earnings forecasting skill, and firms' shareholder base to measure the demand for analysts' stock picking skill, I show that these firm characteristics explain analysts' choices between the two skill specializations. I also find analysts who specialize in earnings forecasting utilize the skill more intensively than analysts who do not by issuing more frequent and more innovative earnings forecast revisions. However, there is no significant relation between relative stock recommendation frequency and stock picking specialization probably due to the highly discrete nature of stock recommendations. My study not only empirically tests the theories of labor specialization but also improves our understanding of analyst utility maximization process and skill development.
机译:本文探讨了个人分析师在盈利预测技巧和选股技巧方面的专长。我分析了分析师效用最大化的过程,并预测当两种技能的发展之间存在相当大的范围经济性时,非专业化对分析师而言是最佳的。当技能开发的成本很高时,专业化是最佳的;并且每种技能的边际收益与分析师选择发展该特定技能的机会成正相关。与我的假设一致,我发现经验证据表明分析师选择非专业化与他的经纪规模,经纪声誉,他的全明星身份,行业技能溢出效应正相关,所有这些都反映了相关成本的倒数。与技能发展。我表明,以收入相关性和收入及时性衡量的技能开发范围经济可以解释分析师选择技能专长还是选择非专业,尽管这是非线性的。我使用收益持续性,收益可预测性和收益固定性来衡量投资者对分析师的收益预测技能的需求,并使用公司的股东基础来衡量对分析师选股技能的需求,我证明了这些公司的特征可以解释分析师在以下两个方面之间的选择。两个技能专长。我还发现,专门从事收益预测的分析师比没有通过发布更为频繁和更具创新性的收益预测修订版的分析师更充分地利用了这项技能。但是,可能由于股票推荐的高度离散性,相对股票推荐频率和选股专业化之间没有显着关系。我的研究不仅从经验上检验了劳动专业化的理论,而且还增进了我们对分析师效用最大化过程和技能发展的理解。

著录项

  • 作者

    Huang, Allen Hao.;

  • 作者单位

    Duke University.;

  • 授予单位 Duke University.;
  • 学科 Business Administration Accounting.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2007
  • 页码 128 p.
  • 总页数 128
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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