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Macroeconomic consequences of sticky prices and sticky information.

机译:粘性价格和粘性信息的宏观经济后果。

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摘要

This dissertation examines macroeconomic consequences of sticky prices and sticky information. It consists of three essays.; The first essay (Chapter 1) develops a simple model combining both sticky prices and sticky information. The duration of the stickiness is fixed. I argue that combining the two types of stickiness creates a very powerful mechanism to generate persistent inflation dynamics. In particular, without assuming empirically implausible degree of price stickiness, the model can capture the hump-shaped behavior of inflation. That is, the inflation rise for some periods after a positive monetary shock and then gradually returns to the steady state level. Also, I show that when the two types of stickiness coexist, the peak of inflation is more delayed compared to the models with only one of the two types of stickiness. Finally, I also show that the results do not depend on the independence of information updating schedule from price setting schedule.; The second essay (Chapter 2) empirically examines a model integrating sticky prices and sticky information. The duration of the stickiness is now random. I nd that both rigidities are present in U.S. data. I also show that this dual stickiness model's closest competitor is the hybrid New Keynesian model, which assumes backward-looking behavior of firms. For both models, current inflation depends in part on last period's inflation. The former model achieves this dependence endogenously through the interaction of the two rigidities, rather than through backward-looking behavior. U.S. data supports the dual stickiness over the hybrid model because lagged expectations terms appear in the former's inflation Euler equation. Finally, I show that it is quantitatively important to distinguish between the two by simulating a dynamic general equilibrium model under each of the two inflation equations.; The third essay (Chapter 3) investigates optimal monetary policy using models developed in the previous two chapters. Two main results characterize the optimal policy. First, in the presence of cost-push shocks, a simple elastic price target rule is optimal, regardless of the degree of each type of stickiness, and regardless of whether the specification of stickiness is fixed-duration or random-duration. Second, the dynamics under the optimal policy in the model are more persistent than those in the models with either type of stickiness. I also evaluate how important it is for the central bank to distinguish the dual stickiness model from an existing alternative, the hybrid New Keynesian model. The results show that, in the presence of possible error in fulfilling the optimal rule, the welfare loss can be huge when the central bank fails to recognize the dual stickiness model as the true model of the economy.
机译:本文研究了粘性价格和粘性信息对宏观经济的影响。它包括三篇论文。第一篇文章(第1章)开发了一个简单的模型,结合了粘性价格和粘性信息。粘性的持续时间是固定的。我认为,将两种类型的粘性结合起来会创建一种非常强大的机制,以产生持续的通胀动态。特别是,在不假设经验上令人难以置信的价格粘性程度的情况下,该模型可以捕获通货膨胀的驼峰状行为。也就是说,在积极的货币冲击之后,通货膨胀会持续一段时间,然后逐渐回到稳定水平。另外,我表明当两种类型的粘性共存时,与仅具有两种类型的粘性中的一种的模型相比,膨胀的峰值更加延迟。最后,我还表明结果并不取决于信息更新时间表与价格制定时间表的独立性。第二篇文章(第2章)从经验上考察了整合粘性价格和粘性信息的模型。粘性的持续时间现在是随机的。发现美国数据中同时存在两种刚性。我还表明,这种双重粘性模型最接近的竞争对手是混合的新凯恩斯模型,该模型假定了企业的前瞻性行为。对于这两种模型,当前的通货膨胀部分取决于上一时期的通货膨胀。前一个模型是通过两个刚性的相互作用而不是通过后向行为来内生地实现这种依赖性的。美国数据支持混合模型的双重粘性,因为前者的通胀欧拉方程中出现了滞后期望项。最后,我证明了通过在两个膨胀方程中的每一个下模拟一个动态的一般均衡模型来区分两者在数量上很重要。第三篇文章(第3章)使用前两章开发的模型研究最优货币政策。两个主要结果表征了最优策略。首先,在存在成本冲击的情况下,简单的弹性价格目标规则是最佳的,而与每种粘性的程度无关,而与粘性的规范是固定持续时间还是随机持续时间无关。第二,模型中最优策略下的动态比具有两种粘性的模型中的动态更持久。我还评估了中央银行将双重粘性模型与现有替代方案(混合新凯恩斯模型)区分开来的重要性。结果表明,在满足最优规则可能存在错误的情况下,如果中央银行未能将双重粘性模型识别为经济的真实模型,则福利损失可能会很大。

著录项

  • 作者

    Kitamura, Tomiyuki.;

  • 作者单位

    The Ohio State University.;

  • 授予单位 The Ohio State University.;
  • 学科 Economics General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2008
  • 页码 170 p.
  • 总页数 170
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 经济学;
  • 关键词

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