再思中国在阿富汗和平重建进程中的角色

摘要

Changing leadership in both Afghanistan and China has opened a new chapter in Sino-Afghan relationship.Since the time President Xi Jinping came into the power and observing the US,and NATO withdrawal from Afghanistan,the country(China)changed her diplomacy from low profile to proactive diplomacy towards Afghanistan.The new dynamics and active foreign policy of China towards her neighbouring states especially to Afghanistan created hope for peace talks between Afghan government and Taliban.Neutrality of China in Afghanistan and its influence in the region especially over Pakistan are creating more favourable conditions to bring Taliban to the negotiating table.Notably,China officially supports the policy of Afghan-led,Afghan-owned peace process and considers Afghan government as the real stakeholder.Furthermore,peaceful and stable Afghanistan is in the mutual interests of both China and Afghanistan,and it is creating a win-win situation for both states.Since the new leadership,both countries have exchanged high-level delegate visits,and China increased her aid and support towards Afghanistan.Moreover,after the launch of Belt and Road Initiative(BRI)geopolitical location of Afghanistan is once again playing a pivotal role and can be the transit hub in the future.Besides,China has also invested in different projects in Afghanistan but facing some issues most notably security issues.This study mainly answers that what are the main obstacles that hinder China to play a bigger role in the peace building process of Afghanistan?However,it also covers that what are the reasons behind this phenomenon and how to improve it?What are the core interests that push China to take part in the peace building process of Afghanistan?To critically analyze the issue Geo-political theory has been used while writing the thesis.Moreover,this paper has come up with some practical policy recommendations that can be useful in bringing Taliban to the Peace Talks.This thesis will be beneficial for relevant field students,most importantly for policymakers of both China and Afghanistan in regarding peace talks with Taliban and for Afghan High Peace Council.

目录

声明

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

DEDICATION

ABSTRACT

Table of Contents

LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS

LIST OF FIGURES

1．1 Background

1．2 Significance of the Study

1．3 Literature Review

1．4 Research Question(s)

1．5 Theoretical Framework

1．6 Research Method

1．7 Structure of the Paper

2 Chapter Two：Peace Building Process and the Role of China

2．1 Introduction

2．2 Afghan government and Taliban Conflict

2．3 Quadrilateral peace talks on Afghanistan

2．4 First Phase of Quadrilateral Peace Talks

2．5 China peace talks between Afghan governments and Taliban

2．6 Secrets Talks with Taliban and China’s Role

2．7 China’s interests in peace building of Afghanistan

2．8 New Afghan Peace Talks in Oman and Taliban participation

2．9 Regional Approach to Afghan Peace Talks

2．10 Shanghai Cooperation Organization(SCO) and Afghanistan Peace Talks

2．11 Taliban vs．ISIS in Afghanistan and Peace

2．12 Conclusion

3 Chapter Three：China’s Interests in Afghanistan

3．1 Chinese interests in joining peace process

3．2 Security Concerns

3．3 Strategic Economics Prospects and Natural Resources

3．4 Safety of Belt and Road Initiative(Bin) and CPEC project protection

3．5 New Silk Road and Chinese interests in Aynak Coppers mine of Afghanistan

3．6 Chinese Involvement in Afghanistan：Analysis on Policy of Non-Intervention or Close Watch

3．7 Comparison of China’s Role with the US and Russia in Peace Building Process of Afghanistan

3．7．1 Role of the US in peace building process of Afghanistan

3．7．2 Russia Role in Peace Building of Afghanistan

3．7．3 Analysing Comparative Role of the US，China and Russia in the Peace Building of Afghanistan

4 Chapter Four：Chinese engagements and assistance towards Afghanistan

4．1 Chinese Economic Investment in Afghanistan

4．2 China’s Belt and Road Initiative and Afghanistan

4．3 China’s Military Aid to Afghanistan

4．4 Rumors or Reality about Chinese Military Base in Afghanistan

4．5 China’s Role in the Infrastructure of Afghanistan

4．6 Limitations for China in peace building of Afghanistan

4．6．1 Internal actors of Limitations for China in Afghanistan

4．6．2 External actors of limitations for China in Afghanistan

5 Chapter Five：Analysis，Policy Recommendations

5．1 Analysis

5．2 Win-Win Cooperation

5．3 Chinese suggestion of Afghan-Led Afghan-Owned Peace Process

5．4 Intertwined Interests of China and Afghanistan

5．5 Policy recommendations for China

5．6 Policies for Afghanistan

Conclusion

Bibliography