Table of Contents
摘要
Abstract
1.Introduction
1.1 Research background
1.2 Main contents
1.3 Research framework
1.4 Research innovations and contributions
2.Theoretical Analysis
2.1 Monetary policy basic rules
2.2 Monetary policy transmission mechanism and its intermediate targets
2.3 Commonly used monetary policy rules
2.4 The application of Taylor rules in monetary policy
3.China’s monetary policy and applicability analysis of Taylor rule
3.1 Development history of monetary policy and interest rate liberalization in China
3.2 Monetary policy transmission mechanism in China
3.3 Analysis on limitations of money supply as intermediate target (the realistic basis for applying Taylor rule)
4.Literature Review
4.1 Foreign literature review
4.2 Domestic literature review
5.Research design
5.1 Variables selection and data specification and processing
5.2 Empirical test methods and sample interval selection
5.3 Modeling
6.Empirical analysis
6.1 Test on basic Taylor rule model
6.2 Test on forward-looking Taylor rule model
6.3 Forward-looking Taylor rule model based on interest rate smoothing
6.4 Model considering the growth rate of the money supply
6.5 Model reflecting the impact of exchange rate in an open economy
6.6 Model considering the impact of asset prices(CGG model)
7.Conclusions and policy suggestions
7.1 Conclusions
7.2 Policy suggestions
References
Appendix
Thanks
声明