Representing and Eliciting 'If... Then Rules': An Empirical Analysis

摘要

This paper investigates how knowledge representation in the elicitation process, impacts the knowledge that is solicited. In particular, this paper investigates the relationship between using different, but equivalent knowledge representations for knowledge elicitation (e.g., "If―then" and "Given"), while focusing on probability knowledge. In addition, this paper investigates other issues that can influence the knowledge elicited. Tense (present or future) of items ranked in a probability elicitation process, extent of expertise and presence of problem in a domain of their expertise, and the impact of acquiring knowledge from groups compared with individuals, also are found to impact knowledge elicited.