首页> 外文会议>Second Symposium on Environmental Applications 9-14 January 2000 Long Beach, California >Weather Derivatives Data: Practical Considerations and Technical Solutions
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Weather Derivatives Data: Practical Considerations and Technical Solutions

机译:天气导数数据:实际考虑和技术解决方案

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Weather option pricing is often based on historical observations taken from first-order stations of the US National Weather Service (NWS). Over time, however, many changes have occurred at these stations with regard to location, elevation, instrumentation, and observation practice, and in their surroundings, e.g., the urban heat islands (Guttman 1991). As a result of such changes, climate data records exhibit trends and biases that are practical considerations in a nascent weather derivatives market (Portman 1999). Analysts suggest that lack of agreement on how to handle data issues has led in part to uncertainties in pricing, and has resulted in wide bid-offer spreads and low market liquidity (see Stavros 1999).
机译:天气选择权定价通常基于从美国国家天气服务(NWS)一级站获得的历史观测数据。但是,随着时间的流逝,这些站的位置,高度,仪器和观测实践及其周围地区(例如城市热岛)发生了许多变化(Guttman 1991)。这种变化的结果是,气候数据记录显示出趋势和偏差,这是新生的天气衍生品市场中的实际考虑因素(Portman 1999)。分析人士认为,在如何处理数据问题上缺乏共识,部分导致了定价的不确定性,并导致了广泛的买入/卖出价差和低市场流动性(见Stavros 1999)。

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