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Weather Derivatives Data: Practical Considerations and Technical Solutions

机译:天气衍生物数据:实用考虑和技术解决方案

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Weather option pricing is often based on historical observations taken from first-order stations of the US National Weather Service (NWS). Over time, however, many changes have occurred at these stations with regard to location, elevation, instrumentation, and observation practice, and in their surroundings, e.g., the urban heat islands (Guttman 1991). As a result of such changes, climate data records exhibit trends and biases that are practical considerations in a nascent weather derivatives market (Portman 1999). Analysts suggest that lack of agreement on how to handle data issues has led in part to uncertainties in pricing, and has resulted in wide bid-offer spreads and low market liquidity (see Stavros 1999).
机译:天气期权定价通常基于历史观察来自美国国家天气服务(NWS)的一流站。然而,随着时间的推移,这些站点发生了许多变化,关于地点,高度,仪器和观察实践,以及周围环境,例如,城市热群(Guttman 1991)。由于这种变化,气候数据记录表现出呈现趋势和偏差,这是一个新生的天气衍生品市场(Portman 1999)中的实际考虑。分析师认为,缺乏关于如何处理数据问题的协议,部分地导致了定价的不确定性,并导致竞价差价和低市场流动性(见Stavros 1999)。

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