MODELING AND SIMULATION OF CONFLICT AND PEACEKEEPING

摘要

This paper presents a multi-level simulation approach for analyzing a conflict opposing two groups (ethnic, political or religious groups) with a third actor, an armed policing force playing the peace keeping role. The opposing groups are modeled at the macro-scale by a continuous logistic event-history model and at the lower scale by Discrete Event behavioral units representing the different roles at play within each group, interacting through a cell based terrain.