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Global warming estimation from MSU

机译:密歇根州立大学对全球变暖的估计

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摘要

Abstract: In this study, we develop an independent method to derive global temperature trend from Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU) radiometer observations in Ch 2, made from sequential, sun- synchronous, polar-orbiting NOAA operational satellites. Also, a detailed examination of the systematic errors in these data is performed with the objective to improve this method. Partitioning these data from 75 N to 75 S into global land and ocean sets, and further subdividing them into AM and PM subsets with the help of the LECT, enables us to perform this examination. The systematic errors in the MSU Ch 2 data are mainly related to differences in the MSU instrument calibration and the Local Equatorial Crossing Times (LECT) of successive satellites. They can be removed from these data with the help of the overlapping observations made by successive satellites. Errors in the MSU Ch 2 data are also introduced by orbital drift, which is the progressive change in the LECT of a satellite. Changes of the AM and PM observation times due to orbital drift causes Ch 2 brightness temperatures from each satellite to be affected by the diurnal cycle. In addition, orbital drift alters satellite illumination by sun, and thereby the instrument calibration. These errors introduced by orbital drift cannot be eliminated objectively. However, in this study, the uncertainty in the global temperature trend resulting from the cumulative error generated by drifts of all the satellites is inferred with an indirect approach. Based on our method of analysis of the MSU Ch 2 data, we find a global temperature trend from 1980 to 1996 of 0.11 K decade $+$MIN@1$/ with an uncertainty of 0.06 K decade $+$MIN@1$/. !11
机译:摘要:在这项研究中,我们开发了一种独立的方法,该方法可从第2季度的微波测深仪(MSU)辐射计观测资料中得出,该观测资料是由连续,太阳同步,极轨NOAA运行卫星制成的。而且,为了改进该方法,对这些数据中的系统误差进行了详细检查。将这些数据从75 N到75 S划分为全球陆地和海洋集,然后借助LECT将其进一步细分为AM和PM子集,这使我们能够执行此检查。 MSU Ch 2数据中的系统误差主要与MSU仪器校准和连续卫星的本地赤道穿越时间(LECT)的差异有关。可以借助连续卫星的重叠观测将它们从这些数据中删除。 MSU Ch 2数据中的错误也由轨道漂移引起,这是卫星LECT的逐渐变化。由于轨道漂移而引起的AM和PM观测时间的变化会导致每个卫星的Ch 2亮度温度受到昼夜周期的影响。另外,轨道漂移会改变太阳对卫星的照度,从而改变仪器的校准。这些由轨道漂移引起的误差不能客观地消除。但是,在这项研究中,通过间接方法推断出由所有卫星的漂移所产生的累积误差所导致的全球温度趋势的不确定性。根据我们对MSU Ch 2数据的分析方法,我们发现1980年至1996年的全球温度趋势为0.11K十年$ + $ MIN @ 1 $ /,不确定性为0.06 K十年$ + $ MIN @ 1 $ / 。 !11

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