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Global Warming Estimation from MSU

机译:MSU的全球变暖估计

摘要

In this study, we have developed time series of global temperature from 1980-97 based on the Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU) Ch 2 (53.74 GHz) observations taken from polar-orbiting NOAA operational satellites. In order to create these time series, systematic errors (approx. 0.1 K) in the Ch 2 data arising from inter-satellite differences are removed objectively. On the other hand, smaller systematic errors (approx. 0.03 K) in the data due to orbital drift of each satellite cannot be removed objectively. Such errors are expected to remain in the time series and leave an uncertainty in the inferred global temperature trend. With the help of a statistical method, the error in the MSU inferred global temperature trend resulting from orbital drifts and residual inter-satellite differences of all satellites is estimated to be 0.06 K decade. Incorporating this error, our analysis shows that the global temperature increased at a rate of 0.13 +/- 0.06 K decade during 1980-97.
机译:在这项研究中,我们基于从极地轨道NOAA运行卫星获取的微波探测单元(MSU)Ch 2(53.74 GHz)观测值,开发了1980-97年全球温度的时间序列。为了创建这些时间序列,客观地消除了由卫星间差异引起的Ch 2数据中的系统误差(约0.1 K)。另一方面,由于每个卫星的轨道漂移而导致的数据中较小的系统误差(约0.03 K)无法客观地消除。预计此类误差将保留在时间序列中,并在推断的全球温度趋势中留下不确定性。借助统计方法,由所有卫星的轨道漂移和剩余卫星间差引起的MSU推断全球温度趋势误差估计为0.06 K十倍。考虑到这一误差,我们的分析表明,在1980-97年间,全球温度以0.13 +/- 0.06 K十年的速率增加。

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