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PROVING PIPELINES SAFETY THROUGH INTEGRATION OF NON-ILI TO ILI INTEGRITY PROGRAMS

机译:通过将非ili整合到ili完整性计划来证明管道安全

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The integrity of transmission oil pipelines are often managed through in-line inspections (ILI) at regular intervals. For the last two decades, such ILI-based integrity programs along with excavations and field non-destructive testing (NDE) have proven their effectiveness in terms of reliability. In a few cases, some pipes contain; for example, a unique cracking mechanism exhibited by short, deep axial cracks located in the vicinity of girth welds. These attributes pose sizing difficulties for ultrasonic crack ILI tools. Accordingly, operators may lean on supplemental integrity activities to prove the safety of the pipelines such as; but not limited to, hydrostatic testing, laboratory testing of cut-outs, qualitative ranking of features, borehole leak detection analysis, Just-Missed-Flaw (JMF) or Just Surviving Flaw (JSF) analysis, discharge and/or point pressure restrictions, and/or a mix between all the previous techniques. Moreover, it is the operators' responsibility to evaluate the risk associated with their integrity plans. Hence, it is important to be able to analyze the reliability of such integrity activities quantitatively. This paper presents an event-tree approach which can augment standard ILI or hydrostatic test results and probabilistic analysis with non-ILI integrity measures under one umbrella. In this approach, the likelihood of failure for both leak and rupture modes can be comprehensively estimated. The event tree approach is used herein as an inductive analytical diagram in which failure events are analyzed using Boolean logic to examine a chronological series of subsequent integrity actions and consequences. The proposed approach is also designed to capture subject matter experts' opinion into the analysis as part of the integrity management program. The work discusses a real practical application along with verification and validation elements of the proposed integrated approach.
机译:传输油管道的完整性通常通过定期进行在线检查(ILI)来管理。在过去二十年中,这种基于ILI的完整性计划以及挖掘和现场无损检测(NDE)在可靠性方面证明了它们的效力。在少数情况下,一些管子包含;例如,位于周长焊缝附近的短,深的轴向裂缝呈现的独特裂缝机制。这些属性构成超声波裂缝ili工具的困难。因此,操作者可以依靠补充完整性活动来证明管道的安全性;但不限于静水测试,剪裁的实验室检测,特征的定性排名,钻孔泄漏检测分析,刚刚错过的缺陷(JMF)或只是幸存的漏洞(JSF)分析,放电和/或点压力限制,和/或所有先前技术之间的混合。此外,运营商的责任评估与其完整性计划相关的风险。因此,重要的是能够定量分析这种完整性活动的可靠性。本文提出了一种事件树方法,可以增加标准的ILI或静水测试结果和诸如一支伞下的非ILI完整性措施的概率分析。在这种方法中,可以全面地估计泄漏和破裂模式的失败的可能性。事件树方法在本文中使用是使用布尔逻辑分析故障事件的感应分析图,以检查时间的后续完整性动作和后果的时间顺序。拟议的方法还旨在旨在将主题专家的意见捕捉到分析中作为诚信管理计划的一部分。该工作讨论了真正的实际应用以及拟议的综合方法的验证和验证要素。

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