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Optimising Data-Driven Safety Related Systems

机译:优化数据驱动安全相关系统

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The operation of many safety related systems is dependent upon a number of interacting parameters. Frequently these parameters must be 'tuned' to the particular operating environment to provide the best possible performance. We focus on the Short Term Conflict Alert (STCA) system, which warns of airspace infractions between aircraft, as an example of a safety related system that must raise an alert to dangerous situations, but should not raise false alarms. Current practice is to 'tune' by hand the many parameters governing the system in order to optimise the operating point in terms of the true positive and false positive rates, which are frequently associated with highly imbalanced costs. We regard the tuning of safety related systems as a multi-objective optimisation problem. We show how a region of the optimal receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve may be obtained, permitting the system operators to select the operating point. We apply this methodology to the STCA system, showing that we can improve upon the current hand-tuned operating point, as well as providing the salient ROC curve describing the true positive versus false positive trade-off. We also address the robustness of the optimal ROC curve to perturbations of the data used to learn it. Bootstrap resampling is used to evaluate the uncertainty in the optimal operating curve and show how the probability of a particular operating point can be estimated.
机译:许多安全相关系统的操作取决于许多相互作用参数。通常,这些参数必须“调谐”到特定的操作环境,以提供最佳性能。我们专注于短期冲突警报(STCA)系统,这些警报(STCA)系统警告飞机之间的空域违规行为,作为安全相关系统的示例,必须对危险情况提出警报,但不应举起误报。目前的做法是通过手工手动“调整”系统的许多参数,以便在真正的正面和假阳性率方面优化操作点,这通常与高度不平衡的成本相关。我们认为安全相关系统的调整为多目标优化问题。我们展示了如何获得最佳接收器操作特性(ROC)曲线的区域,允许系统操作员选择操作点。我们将该方法应用于STCA系统,表明我们可以提高当前的手动调整的操作点,以及提供描述真正阳性与误报折衷的突出的ROC曲线。我们还解决了最佳ROC曲线对用于学习它的数据的扰动的稳健性。 Bootstrap重采样用于评估最佳操作曲线中的不确定性,并显示如何估计特定操作点的概率。

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