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Ensemble Machine Learning for Estimating Fetal Weight at Varying Gestational Age

机译:集合机器学习,用于估算不同胎龄的胎儿体重

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Obstetric ultrasound examination of physiological parameters has been mainly used to estimate the fetal weight during pregnancy and baby weight before labour to monitor fetal growth and reduce prenatal morbidity and mortality. However, the problem is that ultrasound estimation of fetal weight is subject to populations' difference, strict operating requirements for sonographers, and poor access to ultrasound in low-resource areas. Inaccurate estimations may lead to negative perinatal outcomes. We consider that machine learning can provide an accurate estimation for obstetricians alongside traditional clinical practices, as well as an efficient and effective support tool for pregnant women for self-monitoring. We present a robust methodology using a data set comprising 4,212 intrapartum recordings. The cubic spline function is used to fit the curves of several key characteristics that are extracted from ultrasound reports. A number of simple and powerful machine learning algorithms are trained, and their performance is evaluated with real test data. We also propose a novel evaluation performance index called the intersection-over-union (loU) for our study. The results are encouraging using an ensemble model consisting of Random Forest, XG-Boost, and LightGBM algorithms. The experimental results show an loU of 0.64 between predicted range of fetal weight at any gestational age from the ensemble model and that from ultrasound. Comparing with the ultrasound method, the estimation accuracy is improved by 12%, and the mean relative error is reduced by 3%.
机译:生理参数的产科超声检查主要用于估计孕妇和婴儿重量的胎儿重量,以监测胎儿生长并降低产前发病率和死亡率。然而,问题是胎儿体重的超声估计受到群体的差异,对低资源区域的超声波的严格操作要求。不准确的估计可能导致阴性围产期结果。我们认为,机器学习可以对传统临床实践的产科医生提供准确的估计,以及孕妇自我监测的高效有效的支持工具。我们使用包含4,212个内部录制的数据集来提出鲁棒方法。立方样条函数用于拟合从超声报告中提取的几个关键特性的曲线。训练了许多简单而强大的机器学习算法,并使用实际测试数据进行评估其性能。我们还提出了一种新的评估绩效指数,称为联盟交叉口(Lo​​u)进行研究。结果是使用由随机林,XG-Boost和LightGBM算法组成的集合模型来令人鼓舞。实验结果表明,在集合模型的任何胎龄的任何妊娠龄的预测范围内的胎儿重量与超声波的LUE。比较超声方法,估计精度提高了12%,平均相对误差减少了3%。

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