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Representing dynamical systems in feed-forward networks: a six layer architecture

机译:代表前馈网络中的动态系统:六层架构

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Predictive models for financial data are often based on a large number of plausible inputs that are potentially nonlinearly combined to yield the conditional expectation of a target, such as a daily return of an asset. This paper introduces a new architecture for this tasK: On the output side, we predict dynamical variables such as first derivatives and curvatures on different time spans. These are subsequently combined in an interaction output layer to form several estimates of the variable of interest. Those estimates are then averaged to yield the final prediction.
机译:金融数据的预测模型通常基于大量的合理输入,这些输入可能是非线性地结合的,以产生目标的条件期望,例如每日返回资产的返回。 本文介绍了此任务的新架构:在输出方面,我们预测动态变量,例如不同时间跨度的第一个衍生品和曲率。 它们随后在交互输出层中组合以形成感兴趣的变量的几个估计。 然后将这些估计平均以产生最终预测。

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