Problems and prospects for the telecommunications industry development in emerging a digital economy

摘要

As of today, the telecommunications industry in Russia and around the world stand at the threshold of introducing a new, fifth generation of mobile communications. Like previous generations, 5G will give impetus to the development of not telecommunications only, but also other sectors of the economy. The article is devoted to a quantitative analysis of the possible costs and benefits of telecommunication companies as a result of the formation of 5G network infrastructure, the perspective scenarios of the mobile technologies development in Russia are considered, the successful experience of implementing this technology in other countries is analyzed. The paper also describes quantitative estimates of the factors determining the advantage of network competition over other models. All of these estimates are predictive, but the scenarios underlying them are very plausible and are confirmed by international experience.