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Prediction of Stock Closing Prices Based on Attention Mechanism

机译:基于注意机制的股票闭合价格预测

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摘要

Stock is a significant component of financial market so that prediction of stock prices has always been a hot topic in the field of financial research. Nowadays, traditional financial models for prediction are confronted with problems of low accuracy and stability. In order to solve the above problems, the article uses LSTM model to predict American AT&T company's stock closing prices and then utilizes attention mechanism to optimize LSTM model (LSTM-Attention). In addition, by comparing LSTM, Transformer and LSTM-Attention models, it is discovered that attention mechanism is superior than traditional deep leaning models in the aspect of predicting stock prices. The experiment shows that LSTM-Attention‘s accuracy is higher than LSTM by 8.13% and its RMSE is lower than LSTM by 5.31 %. Meanwhile, Transformer's accuracy is higher than LSTM by 4.68% and its RMSE is lower than LSTM by 2.91 %. Therefore, models based on attention mechanism are better at prediction than LSTM and the difference between LSTM-Attention and Transformer is insignificant. The method in this article is supported to be with high effectiveness, which plays a crucial role in prediction of stock prices in the financial field.
机译:股票是金融市场的重要组成部分,以便预测股票价格一直是金融研究领域的热门话题。如今,预测的传统金融模型面临着低精度和稳定性的问题。为了解决上述问题,本文使用LSTM模型来预测美国AT&T公司的股票价格,然后利用注意机制优化LSTM模型(LSTM-LEGHTS)。此外,通过比较LSTM,变压器和LSTM-PEPANTION模型,发现注意力机制优于传统的深层倾斜模型,在预测股票价格方面。实验表明,LSTM-Scipts的精度高于LSTM,达到8.13%,其RMSE低于LSTM 5.31%。同时,变压器的准确性高于LSTM,4.68%,其RMSE低于LSTM 2.91%。因此,基于注意机制的模型比LSTM更好,并且LSTM-关注和变压器之间的差异是微不足道的。本文中的方法得到了高效性,这在金融领域的股票价格上起着至关重要的作用。

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