The Department of Defense Human Factors Analysis and Classification System (DoD HFACS) is the standardized taxonomy used by the services to classify human error identified in mishaps and hazards. DoD HFACS encourages safety investigators and professionals to examine how higher-level influences (e.g. organizational policy, supervisor ability, and technological environment) can impact performance for the individuals executing the actual work (e.g. aviators flying the aircraft). The current project applied the well-known conditional probability formula of Bayes’ Theorem to better understand how the higher-level influences shape the specific types of performance deviations experienced by individuals involved in aviation mishaps.
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机译：国防部人类因素分析和分类系统（DOD HFAC）是服务的标准化分类，以分类在意外行动和危险中确定的人为错误。 DOD HFACS鼓励安全调查人员和专业人士来检查更高级别的影响（例如组织政策，主管能力和技术环境）是否会影响执行实际工作的个人的性能（例如，飞机的飞行员）。目前的项目应用了贝叶斯定理的众所周知的条件概率公式，以更好地了解更高级别的影响如何塑造所涉及航空事故中所涉及的个人的特定类型的性能偏差。
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