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A Travel Time Prediction Method for Urban Road Traffic Sensors Data

机译:城市道路交通传感器数据的旅行时间预测方法

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摘要

Travel time parameters obtained from road traffic sensors data play an important role in traffic management practice. In this paper, a travel time analysis and prediction model was established for urban road traffic sensors data based on the change point analysis algorithm and ARIMA model. Firstly, time series of travel time parameters were clustered by using change point mining algorithm after traffic sensors data preprocessing. Then, a travel time prediction model was established based on ARIMA model. Finally, the model was verified with high accuracy through simulation by using multiple sets of data and analysis of its practicability was done.
机译:从道路交通传感器获得的旅行时间参数数据在交通管理实践中发挥着重要作用。本文基于变化点分析算法和Arima模型,为城市道路交通传感器数据建立了旅行时间分析和预测模型。首先,通过在流量传感器数据预处理之后使用更改点挖掘算法来聚类旅行时间参数的时间序列。然后,基于Arima模型建立行进时间预测模型。最后,通过使用多组数据进行仿真,通过仿真验证该模型,并完成了其实用性的分析。

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