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The Influence of Central Bank Interest Rate, Real Exchange Rate, Economic Growth and Foreign Direct Investment on Current Account in G7 Countries

机译:中央银行利率,实际汇率,经济增长和外国直接投资对G7国家经常账户的影响

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This study aims to determine and analyze the effect of the central bank's real interest rate on the G7 current account balance, the effect of the real exchange rate on the G7 current account balance, the effect of the output value on the G7 current account balance, the influence of the central bank's real interest rate, the exchange rate real and joint output to the G7 current account balance. The types and sources of data that the authors use in this study are based on the nature of the data used is quantitative data because the data obtained are in the form of figures that represent the central bank's real interest rates, exchange rates, outputs and the current account balance of the G7 countries, also based on time Data collected is time series data that is data collected from time to time from 2008-2017, and based on how to obtain it, the data used in this study are data sourced from the World Bank and OECD. Thus the data used is classified as secondary data. Based on the results of the processed data by panel regression analysis, a discussion of the results of research between the real exchange rate, interest rates, economic growth and foreign direct investment on the current account balance in the G-7 countries together or partially obtained the following conclusions: Real exchange rates, interest rates, economic growth and foreign direct investment together have a significant effect on α = 0.05 on the current account balance in G-7 countries. The real exchange rate has a negative and not significant effect at α = 0.05 on the current account balance in G-7 countries. Interest rates have a negative and significant effect at α = 0.05 on the current account balance in G-7 countries. Economic growth has a positive and not significant effect on α = 0.05 on the G-7 current account balance. Foreign direct investment has a positive and not significant effect at α = 0.05 on the G-7 current account balance.
机译:本研究旨在确定和分析中央银行的实际利率对G7经常账户余额的影响,实际汇率对G7经常账户余额的影响,产值对G7经常账户余额的影响,中央银行的实际利率,汇率实际和联合产出对G7经常账户余额的影响。本研究中的作者使用的数据类型和来源基于所使用的数据的性质是定量数据,因为所获得的数据是代表中央银行的实际利率,汇率,输出和输出的数据的形式。 G7国家的经常账户余额,也根据收集的时间数据是时间序列数据,这是从2008 - 2017年开始收集的数据,并根据如何获得它,本研究中使用的数据是来自的数据世界银行和经合组织。因此,所用的数据被分类为辅助数据。根据面板回归分析的加工数据的结果,讨论了实际汇率,利率,经济增长和外商直接投资对G-7国家的当前账户余额之间的研究结果,或部分获得以下结论:实际汇率,利率,经济增长和外国直接投资共同对α= 0.05的巨大效应,在G-7国家的经常账户余额上产生了重大影响。在G-7国家的当前账户余额上,实际汇率在α= 0.05处具有负面且没有显着影响。利率在G-7国家的当前账户余额下对α= 0.05具有负面且显着的影响。经济增长对G-7经常账户余额的α= 0.05有积极而没有显着影响。外国直接投资在G-7经常账户余额α= 0.05具有正且不显着的影响。

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