The Level of Traditional Threats of Indonesia's Defense, Based on Natural Balance of Power

摘要

The level of threat in this study focused on traditional threats, where the actor is a country. Although Indonesia does not have traditional enemies, but careless against traditional/external threats can be very dangerous. Even weak defenses can be the entrance to internal conflicts due to foreign influences. With a weak defense will also result in reduced state authority in international affairs, diplomacy made for the interests of the state also does not have strong strength. The balance of forces in Indonesia with border countries began to change, due to the increasing trend of defense budgets in strategic environments. This paper seeks to see how much of the traditional threat facing Indonesia in the strategic environment. This is a way of identifying threat levels as an index of Indonesia's security needs that faced by the military capabilities of countries directly by the Indonesian border. Assuming with the natural balance of power, defined as the state's accountability in raising the potential of power not only seen from its military capabilities but also its economy. The built system is expected to create a peaceful economic rivalry and not a military conflict between countries. The threat level will be proxies by the relative military capabilities that vary across countries. In accordance with the concept of the natural balance of power, the asymmetrical balance of militarization of a country is a potential threat faced by other countries. The Global Military Index can be used, is an index describing the capacity of a weapon or militarization level in a country. The results of this study indicate that the level of threat facing Indonesia tends to increase, and the countries in strategic environments are increasing their military strength.