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Has Wind and Solar Curtailment Peaked in China?

机译:有风和太阳缩减在中国达到顶峰吗?

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Wind and solar installed capacity in China has been expanding rapidly since 2010. Meanwhile, there have been consistent curtailment issues for the wind and solar farms in the inland provinces. In the early years, curtailment was mainly due to an inability to connect to transmission lines; but it has become much more complex – even for wind and solar farms that have good connection to transmission lines, they still are frequently curtailed, especially in the winter and spring. China’s electricity demand and supply are spatially imbalanced with major load centers in the East and South, fossil, wind and solar energy resources in the North, Northwest and Northeast, and hydro resources in the Southwest. Despite slow transmission system development, inefficient planning and slow demand growth, there is a continued high rate of thermal capacity development. All these factors have led to serious curtailment concerns in in Northeast, Northwest and Northern China (Three North). Figure 1 summarizes wind and solar curtailment rates in 2013-2016. Both wind and solar curtailment rates have generally increased over the years. Curtailment varies considerably across provinces, as well as among projects; some states, such as Gansu and Xinjiang, have experienced curtailment rates above 40 percent. Wind curtailment is also more widespread than solar, mainly because wind does not coincide with high load times on a diurnal and annual basis to the same degree that solar does.
机译:自2010年以来,中国的风和太阳能装机容量一直在迅速扩大。同时,内陆省份的风和太阳能农场仍有一致的缩减问题。在早期,缩减主要是由于无法连接到传输线;但它已经变得更加复杂 - 即使对于具有良好与输电线路有良好连接的风和太阳能电场,它们仍然经常被缩减,特别是在冬季和春天。中国的电力需求和供应在北部,西北和东北,东北,东北,东北,东北地区的主要负载中心,以及西南部的​​水力资源。尽管传输系统的发展缓慢,但规划低效增长,增长效率低,但持续高速度的热容量开发。所有这些因素都导致了东北,西北和中国西北部(三北)的严重削减问题。图1总结了2013-2016的风和太阳缩减利率。风和太阳缩减率通常多年来一直在增加。缩减遍布各省以及项目中的各种程度差异很大;一些国家,如甘肃和新疆,经历了高于40%以上的缩减率。风缩减也比太阳能更广泛,主要是因为风不会在昼夜和年度的高负荷时间与太阳能相同的程度重合。

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