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The Method of the Scientific Directions Potential Forecasting in Infocommunication Systems of an Assessment of the Research Activity Results

机译:科学方向的方法在研究活动结果评估中的信息系统中潜在预测

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The method of the scientific directions potential forecasting in Infocommunication systems of an assessment of the research activity results is described. Formulas for calculation of forecasting for the partition of the set of scientific directions are given. Also assessments of scientific activity of scientists for previous periods are taken into account in the calculation. Linearly-weighed moving average model is applied to create the forecast of potential of the scientific directions. The method can be used for identification of the perspective directions of researches, which are formed in the scientific environment.
机译:描述了对研究活动结果评估的信息性系统中的科学方向潜在预测的方法。给出了用于计算该组科学方向分区的预测的公式。在计算中,还考虑了对先前期间科学家科学家的科学活动的评估。应用线性称重的移动平均模型来创建科学方向的潜力预测。该方法可用于识别在科学环境中形成的研究的透视方向。

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