Qualitative Simulation Research on Public Behavior of Sudden Power Disaster based on QSIM Theory

摘要

In the sudden electricity disaster, as the disaster bearing body, if the public take inappropriate behavior decision-making, will aggravate the social chaos, so that the public behavior of emergency management is imperative. Using the qualitative analysis method of QSIM, this paper analyzes the qualitative evolution of public behavior and its influence factors, and simulates evolution paths of public cluster behavior, according to the relationship between environmental factors and government decision-making factors and four kinds of public behavior interaction. The conclusion of the qualitative analysis of public behavior is as follows: under the dual influence of the environment and the government, the state of public behaviors in power disasters is from no special reaction to save itself, and then turned to complaints and cluster as time goes on. While cluster intentions of leaders, participants, followers are the precondition of collective behavior's formation, and the state of isolates and followers will affect the following cluster degree.