Level of Service Reliability for Stochastic Road Network Based on Travel Time Reliability

摘要

To study the relationship of different reliability indices for road network under stochastic demand, an evaluation method based on travel time reliability (TTR) was set up for level of service (Los) reliability. Assuming that travelers acquire the variation of the route travel time based on past experiences and factor such variability into their route choice considerations in the form of travel time budget, which was defined as the minimal travel time that can accommodate a specified travel time reliability and can be derived according to the probability characteristics of log-normal distribution. Accordingly, Los reliability evaluation models of link and road network were proposed based on the link flow distribution, which can be determined by a travel time budget-based variational inequality (VI) network equilibrium model and a route-based solution algorithm. Some numerical studies on a small road network were presented to validate the proposed method and algorithm.