Uncertainty in Risk Based Resource Planning (PPT)

摘要

1.The regional supply composition and market structure are key determinants to the value of flexible generation 2.Value can be distilled into a couple of critical factors: 3.Regulation prices > $12/MWh 4.High volatility in real-time prices (>110%) 5.Trend of volatility and regulation prices 6.Future fundamentals (changes in supply) play a critical role 7.SPP 47% reserve margins 8. Coal and wind generation lowest energy prices in country 9.High ancillary prices and real-time price volatility opportunity for fast flex-ramp resources 10 CAISO has lowest ancillary service prices in US by 50% and lowest price volatility 11 Substantial hydro storage and interconnection ties to hydro storage 12 Lowest ancillary service prices in US by 50% and lowest price volatility with decreasing trend