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Africa Petroleum Fiscal Evolvement and Impacts on Foreign Investment: Illustrations from Nigeria

机译:非洲石油财政演变与对外国投资的影响:尼日利亚的插图

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With plenty of latest discoveries witnessed from East Africa, the petroleum atlas reshaping is expected where some new faces (e.g. Mozambique, Kenya, Tanzania, etc.) may play emergent roles besides traditional oil countries in Africa. Due to general lack of infrastructure construction and capital investment, it still need some time for large-scale commercial production and the involvement of international oil companies is indispensable in the process. Dramatic price drop has tremendously stricken both governments and international oil companies (IOC) in oil-producing countries since 2014. The effectiveness in which governments and IOCs adjust to this reality will determine the extent and the pace of future development of these countries’ oil sectors. Most IOCs were struggling to cut capital expenditure and control operating cost to survive, and how to maintain and attract investment is regarded as huge challenges by many governments in the downward scenario. Apart from resource factors, petroleum fiscal terms are one of the key factors in the investment decision for IOCs. The attractiveness of fiscal contracts has a fundamental effect on profitability of petroleum projects, and thus an important indicator for evaluating investment feasibility in the country. The paper gives an overview on fiscal transformation in most Africa oil countries, some of them were trying to increase government share in oil profits to support social expenditures, and others have provided fiscal incentives to absorb further investment in the oil sector. It shows that fiscal policies in the countries where national economy relies more on oil revenues are less stable during the past decade. Some upstream projects in Nigeria are illustrated to show the impacts of different contract terms on economic benefits. Thus with new government’s coming into power, most IOCs are holding back further investment and expecting negotiation with the authorities for confirmation on fiscal terms applied in their assets to avoid potential contractual risks, like PIB, Side letter, etc. The implications regarding petroleum regime are summarized based on the experience from Nigeria for emerging countries in East Africa, relatively stable fiscal policy with some incentives to encourage exploration activities would be helpful to petroleum industry. Lastly, investment suggestions are presented with priorities to promote business development in the area.
机译:随着来自东非的大量最新发现,预计将在非洲的传统石油国家/坦桑尼亚等新面孔(例如莫桑比克,肯尼亚,坦桑尼亚等),预计石油地图集被塑造。由于普遍缺乏基础设施建设和资本投资,它仍然需要一段时间进行大规模的商业生产,国际石油公司的参与在此过程中是必不可少的。自2014年以来,戏剧性的价格下跌遭到各国政府和国际石油公司(IOC)。政府和IOC对这一现实的有效性将决定这些国家的石油部门未来发展的程度和步伐。大多数IOC都在努力削减资本支出和控制运营成本,以便在下行情景下,如何维持和吸引投资被认为是许多政府的巨大挑战。除了资源因素之外,石油财政术语是IOC投资决策的关键因素之一。财政合约的吸引力对石油项目的盈利能力产生了根本影响,因此是评估该国投资可行性的重要指标。本文概述了大多数非洲石油国家的财政转型,其中一些人试图提高政府在石油利润中的份额,以支持社会支出,其他人提供了在石油部门吸收进一步投资的财政激励措施。它表明,在过去十年中,国民经济依赖于石油收入的国家的财政政策。尼日利亚的一些上游项目被说明了显示不同合同条款对经济效益的影响。因此,随着新的政府进入权力,大多数IOC正在撤回进一步的投资和期望与当局谈判,以确认在其资产中申请的财政条款,以避免潜在的合同风险,如PIB,副书等。关于石油制度的影响是关于石油制度的影响总结了基于尼日利亚在东非新兴国家的经验,相对稳定的财政政策与一些鼓励勘探活动的激励,对石油工业有所帮助。最后,投资建议介绍了优先事项,以促进该地区的业务发展。

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