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The impact of the 2008 financial crisis on the Portuguese maritime cluster

机译:2008年金融危机对葡萄牙海洋群体的影响

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The paper evaluates the impact of the financial crisis on the Portuguese maritime cluster through the comparative analysis of economic data for 2008 and 2013. The commercial relations between the major maritime sectors are also estimated in both years. The methodology used was that of the Input-Output analysis (Leontief model), with data from the national "I-O Matrix of Domestic Production" (431p*123p). This allowed estimating the values for sectoral Keynesian multipliers I and II, as well as the Hirschman-Rasmussen (HR) and the scattering indexes for both years. The maritime industries' fields of influence for future investments were also estimated. Results show that maritime activities were severely affected by the crisis, resulting in a profound change in the internal structure of the Portuguese maritime economy with the more traditional activities (preparation and storage of fish, in particular) presenting a greater resilience.
机译:本文通过对2008年和2013年的经济数据的比较分析评估金融危机对葡萄牙海洋集群的影响。主要海事部门之间的商业关系也在两年内估算。使用的方法是输入 - 输出分析(Leontief Model),来自国家“国内生产的I-O矩阵”(431P * 123P)的数据。这允许估计部门凯恩斯乘语I和II的价值,以及Hirschman-Rasmussen(HR)和两年的散射指标。还估计了海洋行业对未来投资的影响领域。结果表明,海上活动受到危机的严重影响,导致葡萄牙海运经济的内部结构发生了深刻的变化,具有更传统的活动(特别是鱼类的准备和储存)呈现出更大的弹性。

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