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Efficiency of Gradient Boosting Decision Trees Technique in Polish Companies'Bankruptcy Prediction

机译:波兰公司在波兰公司的渐变促进决策树技术效率

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The goal of the research was to compare the selected traditional bankruptcy prediction models, namely linear discriminant analysis and logit (logistic) models, with the technique called Gradient Boosting. In particular, the paper verifies two research hypotheses (verification was based on the balanced sample of Polish companies): [H1]: Gradient Boosted Decision Trees algorithm is more accurate than traditional bankruptcy prediction models: logit and discriminant analysis; [H2]: Boosted Decision Trees use both: financial ratios and normalized data from financial statements, but the same accuracy one can achieve only with the normalized data and the bigger number of weak learners.
机译:该研究的目标是比较所选择的传统破产预测模型,即线性判别分析和Logit(Logistic)模型,具有称为渐变升压的技术。 特别是,本文验证了两项研究假设(验证基于Polish公司的平衡样本):[H1]:梯度提升决策树算法比传统的破产预测模型更准确:Logit和判别分析; [H2]:提升决策树使用:财务比率和财务报表的正常数据,但只有相同的准确性,只能通过规范化数据和更大的弱家学习者实现。

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