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Granger causality between stock prices and currency exchange rates in Thailand

机译:泰国股票价格与货币汇率之间的格兰杰因果关系

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The objective of this paper is to study the causal relationship between stock prices and exchange rates in Thailand using the Granger causality tests based on cointegration. The daily closing prices and exchange rates data considered in this paper cover from December 7, 2012 to June 22, 2016. The Johansen cointegration test finds that there is a long-run relationship between the stock prices and exchange rates. Using the Granger test for investigating the directional causality of stock prices and exchange rates in Thailand, the results show that there is an evidence of unidirectional long-run causality running from stock prices to exchange rate but no evidence of the movement from exchange rates to stock prices.
机译:本文的目的是研究泰国股价与汇率之间的因果关系,使用基于协整的格兰杰因果试验。本文从2012年12月7日至2016年6月22日,本文审议的日常收盘价和汇率数据。约翰森协整考验发现股价与汇率之间存在长期关系。使用GRANGER测试来调查泰国股票价格的定向因果关系和汇率,结果表明,有证据表明,从股票价格跑到汇率的单向长期因果关系,但没有从汇率到股票的动作证据价格。

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