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Optimal Informal Employment Ratio for Turkish Economy

机译:土耳其经济的最佳非正式就业率

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This study is an attempt to analyze optimal informal employment ratio for Turkish economy. Informal employment has advantages and disadvantages and there is a study that 1 point increase at informal employment increases the economic growth 0,23 point for Turkish economy. Informal employment causes revenue losses consisting of both tax and social security premium. But also it causes economic growth. In the study, the relationship between the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and informal employment ratio (IER) for Turkish economy will be analyzed. Monthly data covering the period between January 2005 and December 2013 from TUIK (Turkish Statistics Institution) were used in the study. The model will be estimated using Engle-Granger Two-Step Estimation Procedure. By the model; at first the relationship between the informal employment ratio and the GDP will be tried to assess the optimal informal employment ratio for Turkish economy and where the Turkish economy stands according to this ratio and the gain of the economy at this optimum rate respectively.
机译:本研究表明,试图分析土耳其经济的最佳非正式就业率。非正式就业有优势和缺点,有一个研究表明,非正式就业1点增加增加了土耳其经济的经济增长0,23点。非正式就业导致税收和社会保障溢价组成的收入损失。但它也会导致经济增长。在研究中,将分析国内生产总值(GDP)和土耳其经济的非正规就业比(IER)之间的关系。在该研究中使用了每月2005年1月至2013年12月期间的月度数据。将使用Engle-Granger两步估计过程估计该模型。通过模型;首先,非正规就业比率与国内生产总值之间的关系将审议土耳其经济的最佳非正式就业比率,以及土耳其经济根据该比例和经济的收益分别处于这种最佳率。

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