Probabilistic Time-Dependent Travel Time Computation Using Monte Carlo Simulation

摘要

This paper presents an experimental evaluation of probabilistic time-dependent travel time computation. Monte Carlo simulation is used for the computation of travel times and their probabilities. The simulation is utilizing traffic data regarding incidents on roads to compute the probability distribution of travel time on a selected path. Traffic data has the information about an optimal speed, a traffic incident speed and a probability of a traffic incident to occur. The exact algorithm is used for the comparison of the simulation.