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Count Distribution for Mixture of Two Exponentials as Renewal Process Duration with Applications

机译:计算两种指数混合的分布作为延长过程持续时间

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摘要

A count distribution is presented by considering a renewal process where the distribution of the duration is a finite mixture of exponential distributions. This distribution is able to model over dispersion, a feature often found in observed count data. The computation of the probabilities and renewal function (expected number of renewals) are examined. Parameter estimation by the method of maximum likelihood is considered with applications of the count distribution to real frequency count data exhibiting over dispersion. It is shown that the mixture of exponentials count distribution fits over dispersed data better than the Poisson process and serves as an alternative to the gamma count distribution.
机译:通过考虑持续时间的分布是指数分布的有限混合物来呈现计数分布。该分布能够通过色散模拟,经常在观察到的计数数据中发现的特征。检查概率和更新函数的计算(续订的预期次数)被检查。通过将计数分布的应用与呈现过色散的实际计数数据,考虑通过最大可能性的方法估计。结果表明,指数计数分布的混合物比泊松过程更好地拟合分散数据,并用作伽马计数分布的替代品。

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