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Achieving China's INDC: Biomass development and competition for land

机译:实现中国的Indc:生物量发展和土地竞争

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In order to mitigate the climate change, China submitted its ambitious goal of INDC to the UNFCCC in 2015. In INDC, China has promised to lower the carbon dioxide emission and increase the share of non-fossil fuels in primary energy consumption. Such an emissions trajectory for the China's INDC would require marked development of biomass power. However, there are few research has quantitatively calculated the biomass demand and supply under INDC target. To fill this gap, we developed an integrated model which coupled the MESEIC model and two types of biomass supply database. The study results indicate that, to achieve the INDC target, it is noteworthy that the share of biomass is predicted to increase from 0.18% in 2010 to 10.20% and 20.06% in 2030 and 2050 respectively. However, current field residue in China is not enough to meet the biomass need in the northeast, northwest and south region. In order to meet the biomass need and ensure the food security, the grass land in Inner Mongolia, the forest in Heilongjiang, the grassland in the northwest region and the forest in the south region should be developed to produce biomass material.
机译:为了减轻气候变化,2015年中国将Indcc的雄心勃勃的目标提交给UNFCCC。在Indcc,中国已承诺降低二氧化碳排放并增加非化石燃料在一次性能耗中的份额。中国INDC的这种排放轨迹需要显着发展生物量力。然而,少数研究已经定量地计算了Indc目标下的生物质需求和供应。为了填补这种差距,我们开发了一个集成模型,耦合鼠尾草模型和两种类型的生物质供应数据库。该研究结果表明,为了实现INDC目标,值得注意的是,生物质的份额预计将分别从2010年的0.18%增加到2030年和2050年的0.10%和20.06%。然而,中国目前的野外残留物不足以满足东北,西北和南部地区的生物质需求。为了满足生物质的需求并确保食品安全,内蒙古的草地,黑龙江的森林,西北地区的草原和南部地区的森林都应该开发生产生物质材料。

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