NORTH ATLANTIC COAST COMPREHENSIVE STUDY (NACCS) STORM SIMULATION AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: PART I - OVERVIEW

摘要

This paper provides an overview of the high-fidelity numerical modeling and statistical analysis that was conducted as part of the North Atlantic Coast Comprehensive Study (NACCS). The NACCS modeling included the latest atmospheric, wave and storm surge modeling and extreme value statistical analysis techniques. The methodology for computing winds, waves and water levels involved application of a suite of high-fidelity numerical models within the Coastal Storm Modeling System (CSTORM-MS). The statistical analysis was performed using the Joint Probability Method with Optimal Sampling (JPM-OS) and traditional joint probability techniques. The NACCS study produced nearshore wind, wave and water level estimates and the associated marginal and joint probabilities at nearly 19000 locations between Maine and Virginia.